Nesciō, sed fierī sentiō et excrucior"
I do not know, but I feel it happening and I am tortured"
A little while ago I wrote about the direction I think the Republican Party will move in, after Trump leaves office. (Please read it and tell me how wrong you think I am.) A just as interesting question, is what direction the Democratic Party will go in. And what better time to talk about this, then when the Democratic National Convention is ongoing?
I think the Democratic Party will continue to promote identity politics and policies which address that. Their candidates will continue to become more diverse racially/ethnically and in regards to their sexuality and gender identity. This will happen on the local, state and even national level. This has already happened to a degree with their candidates for the 2020 presidential primary and during the midterm elections both the primary and the midterms saw historic representation for minorities. I think this trend will accelerate as the country becomes more diverse, regardless of if they take the White House in 2020. Their strategy of becoming the party which focuses on minorities seems to have worked fairly well so far, so I see no reason why they would change strategies, unless there is a radical shift in the political alignment of minorities in the United States. But what direction will they go in economically?
Economically, I think the Democratic Party will also move further left by adopting many economic-populist stances such as UBI (as popularized by Andrew Yang), Medicare for all (an issue Bernie Sanders has repeatedly pushed for), and maybe Social Security reform. There are some left-wingers who are for economic protectionist policies, but I am not sure how mainstream or popular those ideas are. Additionally, I believe that the Democratic Party will become more explicitly anti-Capitalism, or at the very least become more in favor of regulating Capitalism. The justification for this could be to combat climate change, to address racial justice/equity and healthcare reform to deal with an ageing population.
The biggest issues they will face in winning elections are two things: not driving away white voters and not moving too far left economically. If they go too far in regards to identity politics, they could alienate white voters, who otherwise would vote for them. Resulting, similarly to how Trump in 2016 won in many states that had previously gone Democrat. Another challenge they will face in winning elections is in going too far left economically. The US is comparatively more right-wing and Conservative on the economy than many other countries. So if the Democratic Party goes too far left on certain economic issues, they may drive away more moderate voters. However, this may not be as big of an issue as one might think, because as demographics shift both racially and by generation, economic views may also shift. Some polling suggests Gen Z and Millennials are more skeptical of Capitalism than older generations. Gen Z and Millennials still vote at a lower rate than older generations, so older generations may continue to hold a disproportionate sway over politics, even as they become a smaller proportion of the population. Shifting too far left on identity politics and economic issues too quickly could, despite demographic shifts result in losing elections due to alienating white voters and economically moderate voters.
So I, along with probably many people in my generation primarily follow politics through YouTube, Twitter, Reddit and other social media sites. There are certainly negative aspects of getting the majority of your news that way, and I am not blind to those negatives. Regardless of the downsides, the internet as a whole is becoming increasingly important not only to politics, but life in general, particularly for my generation. COVID-19 and the restrictions on in-person meetings has certainly accelerated the importance of the internet for this election.
Oftentimes people like Kyle Kulinski (Secular Talk), The Young Turks (TYT), Steven Crowder, Ben Shapiro, Tim Pool and countless others on both the left and right will be extremely critical of "mainstream media" like The New York Times, NBC, CNN, The Washington Post and (if they are left wing) Fox News. Oftentimes their criticisms will be things like pointing out how biased the media is, or claiming the media is irrelevant, propaganda for any given party, or ineffectual. All these criticisms may have some truth to them, but those aforementioned media organization do a few things that those YouTubers do not, journalism. Despite the many flaws of the more "mainstream media," they do still do investigative journalism something that those YouTubers typically do not do. Additionally, channels like Secular Talk, TYT, and Tim Pool are fairly reliant on the "mainstream media" for content. They often use clips or articles from those organizations and give their opinions, which is why they are able to do what they do for a fraction of the cost what Fox or CNN spends. They really only do punditry which is often extremely reliant on the preexisting media complex. Don't get me wrong, I think that it is good that there are people who do not always agree with the more "mainstream media" and often push back and criticize them, but until they do more actual investigative journalism there still will be a need for the (however flawed) mainstream media.
What is the Thucydides Trap?
The Thucydides trap is a concept first coined by Graham T. Allison, an American political scientist. The Thucydides trap is when there is an established power and a rising power whose political, economic, or military goals oppose each others. Oftentimes the two powers end up going to war due to their opposing interests. Although one might think the rising power and the established power would go to war directly with one another; however, the initial conflict is frequently due to local or minor powers bringing them into war through alliances. One example being the Peloponnesian War between Athens and Sparta.
The Prelude to War:
Athens began leading a coalition of Greek city-states, called the Delian League against the Persian Empire. After defeating the Persian Empire, Athens began to more and more explicitly dominate the Delian League and the members of the league became less of equal partners and more like vassals or subjects. Athens began using all the wealth they were receiving as tributes from Delian League members to build up a massive navy. While this is all going on, tensions began growing between Sparta and Athens.
Epidamnus was ruled by an oligarchy, but was facing a Democratic revolt. The oligarchs turned to Corcyra, the mother city of Epidamnus, while the democrats turned to Corinth, who was the mother city of Corcyra. Neither Corcyra nor Corinth were members of either the Pelopennesian League or the Delian League. Corcyra and Corinth were going to war with each other of Epidamnus and the Corcyrans asked Athens to help them out against Corinth because they felt the Corinthians were overstepping their bounds. Sparta then decided to intervene on behalf of Corinth which turned what may have been a small war between a few city-states into a devastating war which engulfed almost the entire Hellenic world.
The Results:
Athens and Sparta, along with many other cities were completely devastated by the war and in many ways never fully recovered, but Sparta did win the war. Sparta dismantled the Athenian Empire and replaced the Athenian democratic government with an oligarchy loyal to Sparta called the "Thirty Tyrants." The Thirty Tyrants were eventually overthrown and Democracy was restored to Athens, but Athens was never really the same and less than a hundred years later it was subdued by the Macedonians. Ultimately, a dispute between a city-state and its colony became a major war which led to the dissolving of one of the largest political, economic and diplomatic powers in the Hellenic world.
Modern Implications
Obviously the world of today is very different from the world of antiquity, but there are many similarities between the diplomatic situation of the ancient Greeks and of the US today. The US since the fall of the Soviet Union has been the sole world superpower, but times are changing. No empire has lasted unchecked forever. Just as Athens began being challenged by Sparta, the US has begun being challenged by China. China has been growing in influence and power since it opened up to outside trade in the 1980s. In fact, by some measures the Chinese economy has already surpassed the US economy. China has committed numerous human rights violations against its own citizens and against foreigners. China also frequently acts in ways that many other countries find objectionable on the world stage and oftentimes Chinese interests oppose US interests. China seems to be growing more aggressive year by year as it becomes more economically and militarily powerful, but will it ever lead to all out war?
Now one can say that the US and China will never go to war because both countries recognize that a conventional war would, at the very least, be extremely costly and that there would be no guarantee of victory, but what seems like an almost unrelated local conflict could escalate into an all out war between the US and China just like it did for Athens and Sparta so many centuries ago. Additionally, every single time the US fails to sanction or act against China when China breaks international law or opposes our interests, it makes it more likely that China will act in a similar way again. A few questions remain: What would happen if the US decided to intervene when China breaks international law or acts against our interests in Hong Kong or with how China is treating the Uyghurs? Should the US join organizations like the TPP which seek to limit China economically and diplomatically? Are there peaceful ways to effectively counteract growing Chinese power and influence? Should the US try to maintain its empire if it means war with China?
So recently, I have been watching this political YouTube and Twitch streamer called Vaush. He identifies as a "market socialist" and "anarchist." He primarily makes content reacting to and debating right-wing content creators. I obviously disagree with a lot of his beliefs but find him interesting to watch nonetheless because it is often good to hear counterarguments and different points of view. Recently I was watching a response video he made to Steven Crowder entitled What is White Nationalism? Steven Crowder Shows Us In this video he made several incorrect claims about history.
Vaush makes the claim that “historians and anthropologists and political scientists agree that it [Western Civilization] means nothing” Then he goes to say that “it doesn't mean anything it literally means fucking nothing and everyone has a different definition.” His first point is extremely easy to rebut, I took two classes titled “Western Civilization I” and “Western Civilization II” respectively, if that alone is not enough to prove that “Western Civilization” is in fact a term used in academia then a quick sample of my university’s library should be sufficient to prove him wrong.
After a quick pursuing, one can see that there are books and
articles from as recent as 2014 that use the term “Western Civilization” in an academic
sense. Clearly this term is still very much in use by the academic community so
his argument that the term does not mean anything is false. His next point is a
bit harder to refute since he claims that “everyone has different definition.” Yes,
oftentimes scholars will have differing definitions of academic terms, but
there are generally numerous commonalities in how they define the term in
question. In the case of “Western Civilization,” a few key commonalities in the
various definitions are terms like Christianity, Europe, and Greco-Roman, philosophy,
tradition, and culture. Despite there being various definitions of Western
Civilization, one can have a general idea of what someone else means when they
use the term.
Then Vaush goes on to ask, “Okay so
does that include the western portion of Russia does that include Turkey which
is arguably almost certainly in fact in a part of Europe does that include
those swarthy Greeks?” He goes on to say “Western Civilization has broadly
speaking always meant, hey what do I consider white culture to be at the time.
What, what can I claim white people have done, and back in the day it didn't
include Spanish people, it didn't include Germans, it didn't include the Irish,
it didn't include the fucking Welsh, it didn't include the Scottish. Back then
white people or Anglo-Saxons were British people that's it. That was what white
people were and everyone else was swarthy and French people [were considered
white] and everyone else was swarthy as fuck.[1]” Here he is trying to say that oftentimes
Conservatives and right-wingers define Western Civilization as “white civilization”
or “white culture.” He then points out the problem with defining Western
Civilization as white civilization, since that definition would exclude many nations
that at one time were not considered “white” but now are. So I can not say for
certain if when Conservatives and right-wingers use the term “Western Civilization”
if they really do just mean white civilization or white people, but academic definitions
generally do not define it as such. His claim that “Western Civilization has
broadly speaking always meant, hey what do I consider white culture to be at
the time.” is wrong. Academics almost never define Western Civilization so
narrowly precisely because the definition of who is and is not “white” has
changed dramatically over time and ancient peoples such as the Greeks and
Romans did not have the same conception of race we do. Defining “Western
Civilization” as “white civilization” or “white culture” is just simply
incorrect.
Vaush
then claims that “ye old, back in ye old Medieval Ages my friend, people didn't
give a fuck about the West, the West didn't even mean anything back then
because it was defined in opposition to the Orient.” Even if we grant that back
in the Medieval Era, the West was solely defined as being in opposition to the
Orient, it still means something. Even if you define something as in opposition
to something else, it still by definition means something. His argument is just
strange, terms cannot be defined as in opposition to something else? Even back
in Medieval times, I would not grant that the West was defined solely in
opposition to the Orient. There very much was a cultural continuity between the
former Roman Empire and the Medieval Kingdoms that replaced it. The Byzantine
Empire, or Eastern Roman Empire was still a significant presence in Medieval
Europe and the Middle East until roughly the 1400s. Additionally, what would
become Germany, France, Spain, England and Italy were all still extremely
influenced by Greco-Roman culture and philosophy. I am kind of getting ahead of myself though, his
next argument more explicitly states his belief that there was not a cultural continuity
between Medieval Europe and ancient Greece and Rome.
“There were no fourteen hundreds
English peasants who thought like ‘oh yes I am part of the Great Western
civilization which dates back to the Athenian philosophers.’ Nobody thought
that way. It was only after the Enlightenment…only after… the 1700s that people
started to think that there was an intellectual tradition being carried forward
from the ancient Greeks but even then, that didn't carry through the Holy Roman
Empire that didn't carry through the German barbarian tribes.”
Yes, it is true
that English peasants from the 1400s probably would not have thought about
being a part of the a cultural tradition which dates back to Athens, but
European nobility and the church were certainly a part of an intellectual
tradition which dated back to antiquity, whether they considered themselves a
part of this cultural tradition, or not. Many of the great Christian theologians’
writings were undeniably influenced by rhetoricians like Cicero and others. Additionally,
Dante’s Inferno which was written in the 1300s (predating the Enlightenment
and Renaissance) has multiple explicit and subtle allusions to historical figures
from antiquity and Greco-Roman mythology. Next, I am not sure if he means that
the Enlightenment did not carry over into the Holy Roman Empire, or if the
Greco-Roman cultural tradition in general did not carry through to the Germans.
Nevertheless, both claims would be wrong. Even the name “Holy Roman Empire”
implies that they thought of themselves as part of the Roman cultural
tradition. In fact, in Medieval times, and beyond being thought of as the successor
to Rome was extremely important. That is part of the reason why Charlemagne was
crowned Holy Roman Emperor, “Romanorum imperatorem” or Emperor of
the Romans and later on Holy Roman Emperors were crowned as “Rex Romanorum”
or King of the Romans (The Russians and the Ottomans, after the fall of the
Byzantine, or Eastern Roman Empire both claimed to be the successors to the
Eastern Roman Empire).[2] Even within the Germanic
speaking Holy Roman Empire, Latin was a lingua franca among the nobility and
elite. In fact, many titles for nobility are derived from Latin terms and many titles
of social classes were also derived from Latin terms. The German word for “king”
is “Kaiser,” which is derived from the name/title “Caesar.” There was a
social class in Holy Roman free cities called “Patrizier,” a word which
is derived from the Latin “Patricius,” or Patrician. Furthermore,
several cities in the Holy Roman Empire were known as “Free Cities” and had a
Republican form of government, which is obviously derived from Greek and Roman government
practices.
Finally, Vaush
claims that “Yes, Western Civilization and white culture are either dog
whistles or used by people who don't know they are dog whistles.” The term “Western
Civilization” is not inherently a dog whistle. Can it be used by racists as dog
whistle? Yeah sure, but it is primarily an academic term used to describe the
cultural continuity from Greco-Roman antiquity to today. A basic understanding
of history shows that there was unquestionably a cultural continuity from
Greece and Rome to Medieval Europe and beyond. Even if for some reason we grant him that Medieval Europe was not a part of that cultural tradition, and it was only with the Renaissance and Enlightenment that the West rediscovered Greco-Roman culture, it is still utterly
undeniable that the modern-day United States, Europe and many other countries
and nations are a part of a cultural tradition that goes back all the way to
antiquity. The two main forms of government today are Democracies and
Republics, which have their roots in ancient Greece and Rome. If we are not
supposed to refer to our cultural tradition which has its roots in Greece and
Rome as “Western Civilization” than what should we refer to it as?
The entirety of Vaush’s unhinged
rant about Western Civilization:
“how long that term dates back
because historians and anthropologists and political scientists agree that it
means nothing guys do you think Western civilization means anything it doesn't it
doesn't mean anything it literally means fucking nothing and everyone has a
different definition got Western culture originated in or are associated with
Europe okay so does that include the western portion of Russia does that
include Turkey which is arguably almost certainly in fact in a part of Europe
does that include those swarthy Greeks in reality what people consider to be
Western civilization is a product almost exclusively of their biases at the
time because back and ye old back in ye old medieval ages my friend people
didn't give a fuck about the West the West didn't even mean anything back then
because it was defined in opposition to the Orient but that wasn't even a
fucking thing back then the only thing that people cared about was their King
their monarchy there were feudal societies the idea of a nation-state didn't
even exist yet there were no fourteen hundreds English peasants who thought
like oh yes I am part of the Great Western civilization which dates back to the
Athenian philosophers nobody thought that way it was only after the
Enlightenment only after the only after the the 1700s that people started to
think that there was an intellectual tradition being carried forward from the
ancient Greeks but even then that didn't carry through the Holy Roman Empire
that didn't carry through the German barbarian tribes what is and is not
Western civilization has broadly speaking always meant hey what do I consider
white culture to be at the time what what can I claim white people have done
and back in the day it didn't include Spanish people it didn't include Germans
it didn't include the Irish it didn't include the fucking Welsh it didn't
include the Scottish back then white people or anglo-saxons British people
that's it that was white people and everyone else was swarthy and French people
and everyone else was swarthy as fuck these terms change so yes Western civilization
and white culture are either dog whistles or used by people who don't know
their dog whistles which is the point of a dog whistle you're not supposed to
know if it's a racist iteration or not.”
[1]
Here he is alluding to a conception of whiteness from around the 18th
century, which really only included the English, Germans, Nordic peoples (like
Swedes, Danes and Norwegians) and the French. Strangely enough he thinks that
this definition excludes the Germans, despite the Anglo-Saxons, one of the
progenitor groups of the English, being Germanic in origin.
Also, Scottish people are by definition British. His
claim that their conception of “white people” was limited to British people,
but excluded Scottish people is utter nonsense. He just does not understand the
terminology correctly.
[2]
Additionally, Charlemagne had plans to marry a Byzantine Empress in order to
fully complete the reunification of the Roman Empire, but the plan never came
to fruition because Charlemagne died on campaign in the Balkans before the
ceremony could take place.
So I have been wanting to write about Avatar: The Last Airbender for awhile now, but I just have not gotten around to it until now. Originally, I was going to write a review and talk about why I love it so much on the 15th anniversary of it release (February 21st 2020) but I procrastinated too much and the moment passed me by. I really love Avatar, it is one of my favorite TV shows and franchises ever. Even now as an adult I rewatch the series from start to finish every few years and I get something new out of each time. So, I should have been delighted when I heard that Netflix was going to make a live-action version of the original series, right?
Well, I am cautiously optimistic about their adaptation. But I have a number of reservations and just do not think that Avatar really needs an adaptation. Animation was the perfect medium for the story of Aang and his friends. Animation is in many ways more versatile and flexible than live-action and CGI. Animation can be bright and colorful when need be, or more dark and grounded. Additionally, animation is cheaper than live-action and CGI, which means you can do more with less resources. Cheap CGI ends up looking awful and in a show that is full of magic, whether it be spirits, bending, cosmic events, or hybrid animals, getting the look of them in CGI right will be a massive challenge, both financially and artistically. Live-action is (rightfully or wrongfully) often seen as more serious or mature in tone to animation, but the tone of Avatar ranges very widely episode to episode and even scene to scene. The comparatively more flexible style of animation is far more suitable to the diverse tones of Avatar than live-action is. Furthermore, some of the humor in the show is based off of the exaggerated faces and expressions that are really only possible in animation. The aesthetics of the show are also heavily based off of and inspired by anime and Asian art, it may be quite difficult to translate an anime inspired aesthetic into a live-action setting. And those are just some of the surface-level problems that come from adapting Avatar to live action.
If you think my fears are unfounded, just look at this comparison between the two different Aladdin movies.
One of the supposed benefits of a
Democratic or Republican form of government is that arguments, logic, and
reason help us decide which actions to take as opposed to force being the
deciding factor like in other forms of government. This is something I was
taught from elementary school and all throughout college. One issue I could not
help but notice when reflecting on my scholastic career is that, at least
public schools teach very little philosophy, logic, reasoning, and rhetoric. It
was only when I sought out those types of classes in college that I began to
learn about them. Yes, in high school we were taught about people like Plato,
Aristotle, and Cicero, but we were really only taught summaries of what they thought,
and we never did much actual reading and analysis of their own writings. Why in
a system of government that is supposedly ruled through words, persuasion or
more simply, rhetoric are we not taught how to properly analyze it?
Maybe because today the word
rhetoric almost has a negative connotation. It is almost always associated with
a negative concept in media. A headline from Salon reads “A Field Guide to
Trump’s Dangerous Rhetoric.” A headline from Fox News reads “Will Democratic
Leaders Address Violent Rhetoric?” On both left-wing and right-wing media,
rhetoric is frequently proceeded by a negative word, which causes readers to subconsciously
link the word “rhetoric” with objectionable notions. I am not sure exactly when
rhetoric became so consistently linked to nasty perceptions, but rhetoric in of
itself is not a bad thing. The only people who should fear rhetoric are those
who do not understand it, which is one of the reasons why we should teach it in
schools.
Rhetoric defined simply is the
study and practice of utilizing language to persuade others. Now obviously
rhetoric, like all other tools can be used to harm or hurt others. For example,
rhetoric can be used to convince someone to donate to charity or join a gang.
If one does not understand rhetoric and rhetorical devices, then they are more prone
to be persuaded by faulty logic and people who use rhetoric to manipulate
others like oily snake-like used-car salesmen. If they are taught rhetoric,
then they will be less likely to be persuaded by faulty logic. Additionally,
rhetoric is present in many areas of society, perhaps most noticeably and
importantly in politics. What are political campaigns other than barrages of
visual, verbal, and written rhetoric at voters? If every voter better
understood rhetoric than our politicians would all be masterful persuaders, whose
speeches would be eloquent. If all our politicians were master persuaders, then
debates would be more entertaining, persuasive, and informative. If voters and
politicians all had an improved grasp on rhetoric, they would be able to also
understand their opponents better and where they come from. Perhaps this would
lead to more bipartisanship among voters and politicians. Additionally, if all
our politicians were master persuaders then it would also follow that they
would be more intelligent than the politicians who represent now. Why would
there be any reason we would not want more intelligent politicians? If our
politicians were more intelligent then would not the laws, they pass be better
crafted? And would better crafted laws not serve all our citizens better? Clearly
if every voter and politician better understood rhetoric our republic would
only be improved.
If the prospect of a healthier
republic is not appealing than perhaps a more pragmatic view can be more persuasive.
Being able to understand and utilize rhetoric is a practical skill. Sales is
essentially just a subset of rhetoric. Sales can be an extremely lucrative
career choice. By having our students study rhetoric more, we could prepare
them to be successful in a rewarding and high-paying career. Why would we not
want to prepare our students to be successful at a profitable career? Additionally,
even if our students do not want to go into sales, rhetoric can serve them in
other areas of their professional and personal lives. Rhetoric can be employed
by young professionals to negotiate for higher wages regardless of what
industry one is in. Even if all the previous reasons do not persuade you as to
why rhetoric should be taught in schools then perhaps my next point will.
A better knowledge of rhetoric and
how to use would result in happier and healthier relationships for everyone. One
of the most common reasons for breakups and disputes in interpersonal
relationships is due to a lack of or inadequate communication. We can help
alleviate this by educating our students to communicate more effectively and
directly by teaching them rhetoric. If people understand rhetoric well, then
they will be able to communicate with their friends, family, spouses, and love-interests
more clearly and directly. This will lead to our students having improved interpersonal
relationships. Why would we not want our students to have healthier interpersonal
relationships?
Teaching students about rhetoric
and how to use it should be a priority in the American education system. Americans
having a better understanding of rhetoric would consequently produce a more
engaged voter base along with more intelligent politicians and potentially more
bipartisanship. Those would all lead to us having a healthier republic. Additionally,
it could set them up to be more successful in sales and getting higher salaries
regardless of the industry they enter in to. Furthermore, it could result in
Americans having improved interpersonal relationships. In this article I have
proven that rhetoric should be taught more in schools.